Monday, 4 May 2009

No meeting scheduled to review pandemic level - WHO

No meeting scheduled to review pandemic level - WHO
GENEVA, May 3 (Reuters)
The World Health Organisation's emergency committee has no meeting currently scheduled to review the global pandemic level, a WHO spokesman said on Sunday.
Last week the WHO increased its pandemic level two notches, from 3 to 5 on a 6-point scale. Asked if that level may be raised again to the top level, which would trigger a series of measures to help poor countries fight an outbreak, the spokesman said: "That is not very easy to predict.""We cannot lower our guard," he told a news briefing.
He also said that world trade in meat should not be restricted as a result of the outbreak.
(Reporting by Laura MacInnis, edited by Richard Meares) (For more Reuters swine flu coverage, please see: http:/www.reuters.com/news/globalcoverage/swineflu )

Influenza A(H1N1) - update 12 by the WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION




3 May 2009


As of 1600 GMT, 3 May 2009, 18 countries have officially reported 898 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.


Mexico has reported 506 confirmed human cases of infection, including 19 deaths. The higher number of cases from Mexico in the past 48 hours reflects ongoing testing of previously collected specimens. The United States Government has reported 226 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.


The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Austria (1), Canada (85), China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (1), Costa Rica (1), Denmark (1), France (2), Germany (8), Ireland (1), Israel (3), Italy (1), Netherlands (1), New Zealand (4), Republic of Korea (1), Spain (40), Switzerland (1) and the United Kingdom (15).


Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO website on a regular basis.
WHO advises no restriction of regular travel or closure of borders.It is considered prudent for people who are ill to delay international travel and for people developing symptoms following international travel to seek medical attention, in line with guidance from national authorities.


Canada on 2 May reported the identification of the A(H1N1) virus in a swine herd in Alberta. It is highly probable that the pigs were exposed to the virus from a Canadian farm worker recently returned from Mexico, who had exhibited flu-like symptoms and had contact with the pigs.


There is no indication of virus adaptation through transfer from human to pigs at this time.


There is no risk of infection from this virus from consumption of well-cooked pork and pork

products.


Individuals are advised to wash hands thoroughly with soap and water on a regular basis and should seek medical attention if they develop any symptoms of influenza-like illness.

http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_05_03a/en/index.html

Sunday, 3 May 2009

Influenza A(H1N1) - update 11 by the WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION









3 May 2009 -- As of 0600 GMT, 3 May 2009,


17 countries have officially reported 787 cases of influenza A(H1N1) infection.

Mexico has reported 506 confirmed human cases of infection, including 19 deaths. The higher number of cases from Mexico in the past 48 hours reflects ongoing testing of previously collected specimens. The United States Government has reported 160 laboratory confirmed human cases, including one death.

The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Austria (1), Canada (70), China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (1), Costa Rica (1), Denmark (1), France (2), Germany (6), Ireland (1), Israel (3), Netherlands (1), New Zealand (4), Republic of Korea (1), Spain (13), Switzerland (1) and the United Kingdom (15).

Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO website on a regular basis.
WHO advises no restriction of regular travel or closure of borders. It is considered prudent for people who are ill to delay international travel and for people developing symptoms following international travel to seek medical attention, in line with guidance from national authorities.

Canada on 2 May reported the identification of the A(H1N1) virus in a swine herd in Alberta. It is highly probable that the pigs were exposed to the virus from a Canadian farm worker recently returned from Mexico, who had exhibited flu-like symptoms and had contact with the pigs. There is no indication of virus adaptation through transfer from human to pigs at this time.
There is no risk of infection from this virus from consumption of well-cooked pork and pork products.

Individuals are advised to wash hands thoroughly with soap and water on a regular basis and should seek medical attention if they develop any symptoms of influenza-like illness.


Related linksInfluenza A(H1N1) web site
Daily updates will be posted on this site.

Canada pig flu case shows need for surveillance: FAO

Sun May 3, 2009 9:00am EDT


By Silvia Aloisi


ROME (Reuters) - The transmission of the new H1N1 virus from a man to a herd of swine in Canada is a reason for concern and confirms the need for increased surveillance of pig farms, the United Nations food agency said on Sunday.

However, Joseph Domenech, chief veterinary officer at the Food and Agriculture Organization, said the incident was not surprising and reiterated pork and pork products handled in accordance with good hygienic practices were safe to eat.

"We are concerned that this happened but we are not panicking," Domenech told Reuters. "It just reinforces the principle that surveillance of pigs must be intensified."

Canadian health officials said on Saturday a swine herd in the western province of Alberta had apparently caught the virus from a carpenter who recently traveled to Mexico, the epicenter of a swine flu outbreak that has spread to 19 countries and may have killed more than 100 people, all but one in Mexico.

It was the first time the Canadian Food Inspection Agency had reported a case of the virus being transmitted from a human to a pig in Canada.

"It's rare but we have said from the beginning of this flu outbreak that this might happen," Domenech said.

He said FAO was awaiting the results of tests conducted in at least two laboratories in the United States and Canada, where strains of the virus isolated in humans in Mexico had been inoculated into pigs.

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency said the infected herd was quarantined pending more testing and the chance the pigs could transfer the virus to humans was remote. It said all the infected pigs had recovered or were recovering.

"That means it could be one of the viruses variously circulating in pigs that are not too severe, that can be dealt with in a normal way by strengthening surveillance and biosecurity of the pig population," Domenech said.

Doctor Alex Thiermann, advisor to the director general of the World Organization for Animal Health, also said surveillance was key.

"One has to monitors the health of all pigs ... Animals that are showing signs of illness cannot be marketed and cannot be slaughtered. After this event there is no need to make any changes in the recommendations," Thiermann said.

"Pigs are occasionally known to have influenza and they fully recover and are no longer infectious. In the pigs, once they recover, you can detect antibodies ... that the virus is no longer there," he added.

(Additional reporting by Anna Willard in Paris; Editing by Sophie Hares)


http://www.reuters.com/article/swineFlu/idUSTRE54217F20090503?feedType=RSS&feedName=swineFlu&virtualBrandChannel=10521

Saturday, 2 May 2009

WHO says 615 people infected in 15 countries

Sat May 2, 2009 5:39am EDT

GENEVA (Reuters) - The World Health Organization said on Saturday that 15 countries have reported 615 infections with the new flu virus A-H1N1, widely known as swine flu.

Most of the increase from Friday's 331 toll reflects the results of ongoing tests from Mexico, which had a backlog of samples in WHO labs, the United Nations agency said.

Mexico, the epicenter of the disease outbreak, now has 397 laboratory-confirmed human cases including 16 deaths, according to the WHO, whose data has been lagging national figures and is considered most authoritative.

The second-most affected country, the United States, has 141 cases confirmed in WHO labs including one death, the Mexican infant whose family crossed the border to seek medical help. Other countries have had the following number of confirmed H1N1 infections, with no deaths: Austria (1), Canada (34), Hong Kong - China (1), Denmark (1), France (1), Germany (4), Israel (2), Netherlands (1), New Zealand (4), South Korea (1), Spain (13), Switzerland (1) and Britain (13).

Mexico has cut its suspected death toll to 101 from as many as 176 because of test samples coming back negative in its labs, the government said late on Friday, in a sign the flu pandemic the WHO says is "imminent" may not be as severe as first feared.

On Saturday, the WHO repeated its view that borders should stay open and travel should not be limited as a result of the virus, but said "it is considered prudent for people who are ill to delay international travel and for people developing symptoms following international travel to seek medical attention.

"Individuals are advised to wash hands thoroughly with soap and water on a regular basis and should seek medical attention if they develop any symptoms of influenza-like illness," the WHO said on its website.


(Reporting by Laura MacInnis)

http://www.reuters.com/article/swineFlu/idUSTRE5410YG20090502?feedType=RSS&feedName=swineFlu&virtualBrandChannel=10521

Thursday, 30 April 2009

Swine Flu: Statistical Model Predicts Spread in U.S.

Apr 28, 2009, By Blake Harris
Two different swine influenza infection computer models from Indiana and Northwestern Universities, generated on April 27, both predict about 1,000 cases in the United States within three weeks.

However, as of 6 a.m., April 28, there had only been 40 cases of swine influenza (H1N1) reported in the U.S. according to the national Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

According to Indiana University Rudy Professor of Informatics Alessandro Vespignani, an internationally recognized expert on the statistical analysis and computer modeling of epidemics, the prediction of 1000 cases is actually pretty good news and it might not actually get that bad.

"This is a worst-case scenario, as we are always working in a worst-case scenario setting," Vespignani said in a press statement today. "What we are finding is that this is not a panic situation and that this thing is not ramping up in some crazy way. Right now we are confident that in the next few days things will be more optimistic."

His optimism is based largely upon the actions taken worldwide: the medical alert in Mexico, school closures in Texas, World Health Organization warnings, increased controls at international airports and the availability of an anti-viral drug for treatment.

However, Vespignani also pointed out that the next 72 hours would be critical. Even the computer model predictions could change as often as every 12 to 24 hours, depending upon what happens in the world.
Alessandro Vespignani is an internationally recognized expert on the statistical analysis and computer modeling of epidemics. (Indiana University)

WHO raises pandemic alert to second-highest level

GENEVA, Switzerland CNN
The World Health Organization on Wednesday raised its pandemic alert to 5, its second-highest level, warning of widespread human infection from the swine flu outbreak that originated in Mexico.
Dr. Margaret Chan, the U.N. agency's director-general, said the decision to raise the alert on the 6-point scale indicated that all countries should "immediately" activate pandemic preparedness plans.

"This change to a higher phase of alert is a signal to governments, to ministries of health and other ministries, to the pharm industry and the business community that certain actions now should be taken with increased urgency and at an accelerated pace," Chan said.

The announcement came as the number of confirmed cases increased rapidly across the world.

The WHO and national governments have confirmed 148 cases in nine countries. Most of those cases are in the United States, where the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has confirmed 91 cases.

The figures include seven deaths in Mexico and one in the United States. More than 2,700 other patients worldwide are believed to be suffering from the virus that government officials call by its technical name, 2009 H1N1.

The first cases of the virus were detected in Mexico, where health officials suspect swine flu in more than 150 other deaths and roughly 2,500 illnesses. As of late Wednesday, 99 cases had been confirmed -- up from 26, Mexico's health secretary reported. An eighth fatality was also confirmed. iReport.com: "Regular life" in Mexico with masks

The additional cases and fatality were not immediately confirmed by WHO

Researchers do not know how the virus is jumping relatively easily from person to person, or why it's affecting what should be society's healthiest demographic. Many of the victims who have died in Mexico have been young and otherwise healthy.

The outbreak has prompted Mexican authorities to order about 35,000 public venues in Mexico City to shut down and restrict restaurants to serving only take-out meals.

All nonessential government offices and private business were ordered to close between May 1-5, with only skeletal staffing allowed when necessary, Mexico's health secretary announced Wednesday.

Mexican officials said it was too soon to determine what kind of economic impact the decision would have on the country.

Germany and Austria became the latest European countries to report swine flu on Wednesday, while the number of cases increased in the United Kingdom and Spain. Peru reported its first case late Wednesday.

Yet Chan reiterated the WHO's recommendation not to close borders or restrict trade in response to the outbreak, saying the world "is better prepared for an influenza pandemic than at any time" in history.

"We need to maintain a level of calmness so that we will continue to manage this in a rational manner," she said, adding that pork is safe for consumption as long as it is cooked properly.
President Obama downplayed the possibility of closing the U.S. border with Mexico, where the recent occurrence of the deadly virus began.

"It would be akin to closing the barn door after the horses are out," Obama said during his Wednesday evening news conference.

Obama said he'll be looking to health officials for guidance on how to handle travel between the two countries.

The $1.5 billion Obama requested from Congress to help fight the outbreaks will help health officials monitor and track the virus and replenish the supply of anti-viral drugs, he said. Watch President Obama caution Americans on swine flu »

Swine influenza, or flu, is a contagious respiratory disease that affects pigs. When the flu spreads person to person, instead of from animals to humans, it can continue to mutate, making it harder to treat or fight, because people have no natural immunity.

Symptoms include fever, runny nose, sore throat, nausea, vomiting and diarrhea.

The WHO's "Phases of Pandemic Alert," which has been in existence for five years, characterizes phase 5 as a human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one WHO region, signaling that a pandemic is imminent.

The highest level, phase 6, is defined by community-level outbreaks in at least one other country in a different WHO region, according to the agency.
About a quarter of the U.S. stockpile of anti-viral drugs will be distributed to states by Sunday, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano said. Watch how U.S. officials are reacting to the virus »

U.S. officials also are asking scientists whether additional measures to screen for flu symptoms were needed at U.S. ports of entry, she said. Already, customs officers have asked 49 people to submit to tests for the H1N1 virus, she said. Of those tests, 41 have been negatives and the remaining eight have not yet come back.

Researchers in the United States have already taking steps to crack the genetic code of the virus behind the swine flu outbreak in order to produce a vaccine, U.S. officials said Wednesday.

The U.S. government is distributing 25 percent of its stockpile of antiviral medications Tamiflu and Relenza to all states, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano said Wednesday. Health officials stress that the medications are effective only if taken in the early stages of the infection. Learn more about swine flu and how to treat it »

The 91 confirmed cases in the United States includes the country's first swine flu fatality: a 23-month-old child visiting from Mexico who died Monday at a Houston, Texas, hospital.
A U.S. Marine in California is the military's first suspected case of swine flu, and three military family members in San Diego have confirmed cases, the CDC said.

As a precaution, the military is banning travel to Mexico for nonessential personnel.

Mexican officials also said they believe they may have found "patient zero" -- the first case of the global outbreak -- in the small mountain village of La Gloria.

Edgar Hernandez, 5, survived the earliest documented case of swine flu. He lives near a pig farm, though experts have not established a connection between that and his illness.

Edgar has managed to bounce back from his symptoms and playfully credits ice cream for helping him feel better.

In the United States, at least 74 elementary, junior high and high schools have closed across the country due to confirmed or probable cases of swine flu, the Department of Education said Wednesday.

Another 30 schools have closed as a precautionary measure, Department of Education spokesman Massie Ritsch said.

Governments around the world are scrambling to prevent further outbreak.

Some countries, such as China and Russia, have banned pork imports from the United States and Mexico, though the WHO said the disease is not transmitted through eating or preparing pig meat. Several other countries, such as Japan and Indonesia, are using thermographic devices to test the temperature of passengers arriving from Mexico.
Egypt reportedly is considering culling all pigs although there have been no reported cases of swine flu there.

Common seasonal flu kills 250,000 to 500,000 people every year worldwide, far more than the current outbreak of swine flu. But there is a vaccine for seasonal flu
CNN's Dr. Sanjay Gupta and Barbara Starr contributed to this report.



http://edition.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/04/29/swine.flu/index.html

Opinions – Suggestions - Remarks